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The three major stock indexes opened lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.54%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.74% and the Growth Enterprise Market down 0.87%.Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.The United States said that the ceasefire agreement in Gaza was close to being reached, but Hamas didn't respond. On the 12th local time, Sullivan, Assistant to the President of the United States for National Security Affairs, held talks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. After the talks, Sullivan told the media that he thought Netanyahu was ready to reach a ceasefire agreement with Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas). According to US media reports on the 12th, sources said that the negotiating position of Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) has softened, and it may agree to the temporary presence of Israeli troops in the Gaza after the ceasefire. However, Hamas has not yet responded to this news.

Southern Power Grid: In November, the installed capacity of industrial and commercial distributed photovoltaic projects was newly put into operation, with more than 500 MW. Southern Power Grid (003035) said at the institutional investor strategy meeting on December 12 that in 2024, the company will continue to give full play to the advantages of distributed photovoltaic energy-saving track, focusing on key industries with good industry prospects, strong sustainable operation ability and large electricity consumption, and increase development efforts. According to preliminary statistics, from January to November 2024, the installed capacity of industrial and commercial distributed photovoltaic projects was newly put into operation with more than 500 MW.The Nikkei 225 index fell to 1%.Domestic futures fell more and rose less, No.20 rubber fell nearly 3%, domestic futures fell more and rose less, No.20 rubber fell nearly 3%, Shanghai Bank and BR rubber fell nearly 2%, and rubber, caustic soda, vegetable oil, rapeseed meal, hot coil, international copper and pulp fell more than 1%. In terms of increase, Shanghai nickel and alumina rose by over 1%, while SC crude oil and palm oil rose by nearly 1%.

The Philippine side's provocation and China's counter-measures will be one step stronger. The Philippine Coast Guard said that China has recently launched "aggressive actions" against Philippine fishing boats heading for the reef. Senior Colonel Wu Qian, director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, said today that the Philippine side likes to take a boat full of journalists wherever it goes, whether it is sailing or shipping, but the key is not to see who has more journalists, but to see who is more reasonable and legal. China Nansha Islands and Huangyan Island have never been included in the territory of the Philippines, which is determined by a series of international treaties. The Philippines is well aware of this. China's attitude is clear and definite: one point for provocation and one step for counter-attack; If you are stubborn, you will be with me to the end.Guosheng Securities: AEC heavy-duty computing industry chain has entered the era of Lian Heng. Guosheng Securities Research Report pointed out that AEC(Active Electrical Cable) is an active cable interconnection scheme, which is mainly used in short-distance high-speed data transmission scenarios in data centers. 1)AEC is expected to become the first step for optical module manufacturers to penetrate downwards. Optical modules need to master photoelectric conversion and high-speed data communication, and DAC/AEC/AOC products have relatively mature technical requirements compared with single-mode/multimode optical module products with longer transmission distance. 2) Copper interconnection is widely used by large CSP not only in NVIDIA. NVIDIA used a large number of high-density copper interconnects in B series products, which made the industry re-recognize the reliability and price advantage of copper interconnects in short-distance scenes. 3) In the era of Lian Heng, domestic manufacturers still have obvious advantages. Chip manufacturers, represented by NVIDIA, have been hoping to conduct a comprehensive industry consolidation and provide customers with a complete set of solutions. What CSP manufacturers want more is the decoupling of the industrial chain, and every link such as GPU, copper connection, optical module and switch can find corresponding suppliers. The heavy volume of AEC and the rise of CSP manufacturer's independent scheme indicate that the computing power industry chain has entered the era of Lian Heng, and we are firmly optimistic about the domestic related computing power industry chain.The Japanese side hyped China's threat to return to the old road of military expansion. Recently, Japanese Prime Minister Shi Pomao delivered a policy address saying that Chinese aircraft carriers sailed in the waters close to Japan's territorial waters, and carrier-based aircraft conducted thousands of take-off and landing trainings in the Pacific Ocean; Based on the national security strategy, Japan will greatly strengthen its defense forces. In this regard, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, said that the Japanese side's hype about the so-called "China military threat" was just to cover up its usual trick of getting rid of the shackles of the peaceful constitution and taking the old road of military expansion again. As a matter of fact, the diplomatic and defense departments of China and Japan have been maintaining communication on air and sea security issues. There is absolutely no need for the Japanese side to be jittery and nervous. (CCTV)